2021 REGGIE BUSH LEAGUE ANALYTICS

This is it. Final Four. Final posting. See you next year.

In [1]:
import sys
sys.path.append('../../Github/gh-emlov')
from rblcode.parsers import getPlayersAndTeams, getResults

config = {
    "PICKS_FILE_NAME" : "2021/picks-2021.xlsx",
    "RESULTS_FILE_NAME" : "2021/results-by-round/results-day8.xlsx",
}
(players, teams) = getPlayersAndTeams(config, False)
(results, result_columns, bonus_contest) = getResults(config)

103 by 11

Expected Values for those still in the hunt for the prizes

(probabilities can add to more than 100% because of chances of a tie)

(expected values take into consideration splitting the pot in case of tie)

In [2]:
from rblcode.paths import seedWeightedPathFnFactory, twosCastPathFnFactory
from rblcode.processes import pathAnalysis, calculateExpectedWinnings
from rblcode.reports import expectedWinningsReport

seedPathFn = twosCastPathFnFactory(results, result_columns, teams, verbose=False)

(tot_weight, count_tuple, winning_tuple, ttracker) = pathAnalysis(teams, 
    results, players, result_columns, 128, seedPathFn, None, None, teamTracker=True)
(xy1, xy2) = calculateExpectedWinnings(players, tot_weight, count_tuple, winning_tuple, False)

a = expectedWinningsReport(players, xy1, xy2, onlyNonZero=True)

                      E(value)   Pr(1st)   Pr(2nd)   Pr(3rd) Avg-Win  Best-Win
 1       Matt Saldana   286.88     37.50      0.00      0.00     1236     1450
 2         Erin Kizer   196.88     25.00      0.00     12.50     1230     1230
 3      Lauren Wanski   135.00     12.50     37.50     12.50     1400     1400
 4   Joel Worthington   118.12     12.50     12.50     25.00     1350     1350
 5         **btruboff   109.69     12.50     12.50     12.50      960      960
 6        Brett Stone    25.31      0.00     25.00     12.50        0        0
 7    Grayson Holland    14.06      0.00     12.50     25.00        0        0
        Casey Farrell    14.06      0.00     12.50     25.00        0        0

The eight possible paths

In [3]:
from rblcode.reports import winPlaceShowAllPaths
n = winPlaceShowAllPaths(players, teams, results, result_columns)

 
Champ:    GONZAGA
Runnerup: Baylor
Final 4:  UCLA - Houston
1 1400 Lauren Wanski - Tulane All the Way!
2 1360 Grayson Holland - maybe we see another one
  1360 Casey Farrell - St Paul Suggs Fan
 
Champ:    GONZAGA
Runnerup: Houston
Final 4:  UCLA - Baylor
1 1350 Joel Worthington - COVID protocalling my shot
2 1240 Lauren Wanski - Tulane All the Way!
3 1200 Grayson Holland - maybe we see another one
  1200 Casey Farrell - St Paul Suggs Fan
 
Champ:    UCLA
Runnerup: Baylor
Final 4:  Gonzaga - Houston
1  960 **btruboff - btruboff-made-me-late
2  920 Lauren Wanski - Tulane All the Way!
3  910 Erin Kizer - Hoop Dreams
 
Champ:    UCLA
Runnerup: Houston
Final 4:  Gonzaga - Baylor
1  970 Matt Saldana - Ramblin' Cougars
2  870 Joel Worthington - COVID protocalling my shot
3  800 Brett Stone - Where's Dook?
   800 **btruboff - btruboff-made-me-late
 
Champ:    BAYLOR
Runnerup: Gonzaga
Final 4:  UCLA - Houston
1 1230 Erin Kizer - Hoop Dreams
2 1080 Lauren Wanski - Tulane All the Way!
3 1040 Grayson Holland - maybe we see another one
  1040 Casey Farrell - St Paul Suggs Fan
 
Champ:    BAYLOR
Runnerup: UCLA
Final 4:  Gonzaga - Houston
1 1230 Erin Kizer - Hoop Dreams
2  960 **btruboff - btruboff-made-me-late
3  920 Lauren Wanski - Tulane All the Way!
 
Champ:    HOUSTON
Runnerup: Gonzaga
Final 4:  UCLA - Baylor
1 1450 Matt Saldana - Ramblin' Cougars
2 1280 Brett Stone - Where's Dook?
3 1030 Joel Worthington - COVID protocalling my shot
 
Champ:    HOUSTON
Runnerup: UCLA
Final 4:  Gonzaga - Baylor
1 1290 Matt Saldana - Ramblin' Cougars
2 1120 Brett Stone - Where's Dook?
3  870 Joel Worthington - COVID protocalling my shot

Day 8 Scores

In [4]:
from rblcode.reports import currentScores
a = currentScores(players, results, teams)

rank   score                         champ                runner-up
   1     810  Matt Saldana           Houston              Gonzaga           
   2     800  **btruboff             Alabama              Baylor            
   3     760  Lauren Wanski          Gonzaga              Baylor            
   4     750  Erin Kizer             Baylor               Texas             
   5     720  **William Davis        Illinois             Gonzaga           
         720  Casey Farrell          Gonzaga              Baylor            
         720  Grayson Holland        Gonzaga              Baylor            
         720  Paul Mazanec           Alabama              Baylor            
   9     710  Joel Worthington       Gonzaga              Houston           
  10     670  Drew Holland           Gonzaga              Baylor            
         670  Kevin Broich           Illinois             Gonzaga           
  12     640  Brett Stone            Houston              Gonzaga           
         640  Jack Hamilton          Gonzaga              Baylor            
  14     630  Gill Benedek           Illinois             Gonzaga           
  15     610  **Hartford Hawk        Illinois             Gonzaga           
  16     590  Shonak Patel           Michigan             Baylor            
  17     580  Andrew Koziol          Michigan             Baylor            
  18     570  Neal Addison           Gonzaga              Illinois          
         570  Peter Felion           Gonzaga              Illinois          
         570  Sarah Harrington       Ohio State           Michigan          
  21     560  Ben Sampson            Michigan             Ohio State        
         560  Caroline Gammill       Gonzaga              Ohio State        
         560  Jim Gammill            Iowa                 Houston           
         560  Matt Manderfeld        Gonzaga              Illinois          
         560  Michael Tracy          Alabama              Ohio State        
  26     550  Gus Bowder-Newton      Illinois             Alabama           
         550  Wyatt Posig            Michigan             Ohio State        
  28     540  Hampton Barclay        Gonzaga              Illinois          
  29     530  Ariela Rothstein       Kansas               Baylor            
  30     520  **djtoothpick          Gonzaga              Illinois          
         520  Ken Hays               Illinois             Alabama           
  32     510  Chris Leidel           Michigan             Ohio State        
         510  Dave DeBlasio          Illinois             Kansas            
  34     500  Alex Marini Lessin     Iowa                 Illinois          
  35     490  Rob Colameta           Loyola               Texas             
  36     480  Griffin Gammill        Arkansas             Gonzaga           
         480  Nathan Rothstein       Ohio State           Gonzaga           
         480  Rob Hamilton           Alabama              Oklahoma State    
  39     460  Ned Leutz              Kansas               Houston           
         460  Ross Lohr              Michigan             Illinois          
  41     450  Jon Graboyes           Michigan             Ohio State        
  42     440  Ted Allen              Michigan             Ohio State        
  43     400  Julia Barclay          Virginia             Ohio State        
  44     360  Zach Jonas             West Virginia        Georgetown        
  45     350  Dan Rothstein          Illinois             Virginia

LINKS

You will be able to find this page later at jgweb.info/RBL21-day-8.html.

You can get back to the current page at jgweb.info.

Earlier Pages

Day 7: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-7.html

Day 6: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-6.html

Day 5: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-5.html

Day 4: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-4.html

Day 3: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-3.html

Day 2: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-2.html

Day 1: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-1.html

Day 0: jgweb.info/RBL21-day-0.html

Introduction: jgweb.info/RBL21-intro.html